etter to the Editor TOKYO (Bloomberg) --
Toyota Motor Corp., which traditionally gets a majority of its profit in the United States, will outline a strategy for growth in emerging markets in a 10-year plan the Japanese automaker is set to release this week, two people familiar with the plan said.
Toyota also plans to cut two vice-chairman positions and shrink its board to 17 or fewer members as part of the biggest management shakeup in eight years, according to two people who declined to be identified as the plan is private. Former President Katsuaki Watanabe will become an advisor without a board vote, and former head of research and development Kazuo Okamoto will move to an affiliate, the people said.
President Akio Toyoda will present a "Global Vision 2020" plan for the world's largest automaker on Wednesday, March 9, to help boost sales a year after the carmaker's biggest recall crisis. As part of its focus on emerging markets, the carmaker introduced the Etios compact in India in December, which will also be modified for sale in China, Thailand and Brazil.
Executive Vice President Yukitoshi Funo has dubbed the Etios as the "21st Century Corolla," a reference to its bestselling compact model. Investors and analysts have called on Toyota to reveal more about plans for next-generation models, shifting production away from Japan and boosting sales of luxury models. The automaker made about 60 percent of its operating profit from North America in the nine-months ended December 31, according to its financial statement.
"As the recall problem has settled down, there's hope that Toyota will turn around and get on the offensive, but I'm not optimistic," said Koji Endo, a Tokyo-based auto analyst at Advanced Research Japan. "Toyota has been trying to return to a less aggressive way of doing things after being so fixated on profit."
Slimmer board
Toyota's slimmer board may help it adapt to challenges and changes in the global industry quickly, the people said.
"Toyota has seemed cluttered with too many board members, and that has had consequences," said Tadashi Usui, an analyst at Moody's K.K. in Tokyo.
Toyota spokesman Koki Konishi said the automaker can't comment on the plan at this point.
After a global financial crisis and recalls of 20.4 million cars around the world since November 2009, Toyota has fallen behind rival Honda Motor Co. in terms of profit and operating margin. The company has said it plans to keep capital investments little changed for at least the next five years to cut costs.
Volkswagen, GM
With Volkswagen AG aiming to surpass Toyota as the world's largest carmaker by 2018, and competitors including General Motors Co. and Hyundai Motor Co. also gaining ground on the automaker, management has been divided over whether it should be more aggressive or remain cautious, said two Toyota group executives, who declined to be identified.
In Toyoda's testimony before Congress in February 2010, during the height of the recall crisis, he linked vehicle defects to the rapid expansion that pushed the company to the top of the industry.
"Quite frankly, I fear the pace at which we have grown may have been too quick," Toyoda said. The grandson of Toyota's founder has advocated a return to founding principles such as "putting the customer first" and "genchi genbutsu," or "going to see things first-hand."
Watanabe's plan
Toyota is continuing a cautious approach even as analysts say the company lags behind rivals in emerging markets such as China and India, said Karl Schlicht, head of the global product and marketing division at Lexus, the carmaker's luxury brand.
"We're not going all out to go as fast as we can in China," he said. "We've learned a big lesson. We want to be careful."
Toyoda's 2020 vision revises a plan outlined by Watanabe in November 2007, which included a goal of offering hybrid versions of all its models and commercializing next-generation battery technology and new modes of mobility.
Watanabe said in 2006 he expected the company's operating margin to grow to 10 percent from 8.5 percent at the time. That compares with 2.9 percent for the nine-month period through December.
The company expects to earn 490 billion yen ($5.95 billion) in net income in the year ending March 31, a figure that may almost double to 922 billion yen in the year ending March 2013, according to the average of 14 analyst estimates compiled by Bloomberg. That's still below the record 1.7 trillion yen it earned in fiscal year 2007.
Prius lineup
The company's focus on expanding its lineup of fuel-efficient models remains evident as it adds new versions of the Prius, the world's best-selling gasoline-electric model. Toyota displayed its Prius v wagon and a compact Prius c concept car at the Detroit auto show in January.
In the U.S., Toyota's biggest market, the company expects Prius models to make up its top-selling vehicle line by the end of the decade, overtaking the Camry sedan, according to Bob Carter, Toyota's group vice president for U.S. sales.
A plug-in hybrid and cars powered solely by batteries are also planned for next year. Toyota agreed last year to buy a $50 million stake in California-based Tesla Motors Inc. to collaborate on an electric version of Toyota's RAV4 sport- utility vehicle.
Toyota is also working on a new battery technology that improves upon lithium-ion cells. Vehicles with magnesium-sulfur batteries or alternative materials may be ready by about 2020, according to Jeffrey Makarewicz, an engineer at Toyota's technical center in Ann Arbor, Mich.
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